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1. Daily Profile / Daily Narrative

3 min read

  • The daily high / low is usually formed before 10:30.
  • The daily high / low is always made from key levels: a 4H gap or a 1H order-pairing range.
  • Once the daily high / low is likely formed, price is more likely to trade within the intraday range.
  • Any move against the DoL is usually treated as:
    • a retracement, or
    • a reversal.

The daily high / low should not be judged by time alone. Also check:

  • whether it formed from a key level;
  • whether there is a swing formation;
  • whether there is SMT / SS validation;
  • whether price has displaced away;
  • whether the 30m / 1H price action is clean.

Core features of a continuation:

  • The daily high / low is already formed.
  • Price is trading within the intraday range.
  • Consolidation is usually a continuation signature.
  • In a trend, price usually respects gaps and manipulates internal swings.
  • In a trend, 1-stage SMT is usually enough.

Core features of a reversal:

  • Price reaches a key level.
  • SMT appears.
  • A Strength Switch is preferred.
  • PSP / 2-stage SMT appears.
  • Displacement / gap confirms the move.
  • HTF reversals usually require higher-quality confirmation.

A candle profile has two components, and both need to align:

  • Wick size tells you how far the candle is likely to expand. A small wick / large body supports expansion. A large wick / small body will reverse but is unlikely to expand much past the opening price — treat that as candle 2 and wait for candle 3 to trade the actual expansion.
  • Time remaining in the candle is a second filter alongside wick size. A wick that forms early, with most of the candle’s time still left, has room to become an expansion candle even if it currently looks large. A wick that only forms late, close to the candle’s own close, has little time left to expand — treat that as a reversal candle and wait for the next candle to trade the expansion.
  • Open-high vs open-low tells you how the candle is likely to form and close. A bullish expansion candle typically opens low first; opening high first, especially into something relevant, is a negative condition.
  • Open-high or open-low is decided by whichever side gets manipulated first, not necessarily the literal opening tick — a brief early move that doesn’t trade into anything relevant does not invalidate the read.
  • A reversal candle with a small wick is both a reversal and an expansion candle at once. A reversal candle with a large wick will still reverse, but targets should stay within the daily range (back to the open or a little past it) rather than expecting a break beyond it.
  • Opening high and then opening low, with no expansion in between, reads as seek-and-destroy / consolidation rather than a clean directional signature.

Personal study notes, shared as-is and in good faith. Educational material only — nothing on this site constitutes financial advice.